Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.002652 0.002835 0.003032 0.003261 0.003522 0.003812 0.004162
2024-10-20 0.002295 0.002527 0.002790 0.003116 0.003514 0.003994 0.004630
2024-10-27 0.002109 0.002376 0.002692 0.003102 0.003635 0.004326 0.005333
2024-11-03 0.001884 0.002150 0.002472 0.002904 0.003486 0.004277 0.005508
2024-11-10 0.001801 0.002086 0.002442 0.002936 0.003635 0.004646 0.006365
2024-11-17 0.001742 0.002046 0.002434 0.002992 0.003818 0.005090 0.007478
2024-11-24 0.001663 0.001972 0.002375 0.002967 0.003874 0.005345 0.008342
2024-12-01 0.001625 0.001947 0.002378 0.003029 0.004069 0.005864 0.009958
2024-12-08 0.001567 0.001893 0.002334 0.003016 0.004140 0.006177 0.011287
2024-12-15 0.001504 0.001826 0.002269 0.002963 0.004134 0.006342 0.012336
2024-12-22 0.001480 0.001814 0.002279 0.003027 0.004338 0.006975 0.015251
2024-12-29 0.001456 0.001797 0.002281 0.003078 0.004525 0.007626 0.019052
2025-01-05 0.001406 0.001745 0.002232 0.003045 0.004564 0.007983 0.022469
2025-01-12 0.001338 0.001665 0.002137 0.002931 0.004430 0.007886 0.023584
2025-01-19 0.001302 0.001630 0.002107 0.002924 0.004512 0.008378 0.029544
2025-01-26 0.001228 0.001536 0.001983 0.002747 0.004225 0.007792 0.026708
2025-02-02 0.001208 0.001519 0.001978 0.002777 0.004374 0.008489 0.036658
2025-02-09 0.001194 0.001511 0.001985 0.002828 0.004575 0.009441 0.058428
2025-02-16 0.001164 0.001479 0.001953 0.002805 0.004609 0.009872 0.081592
2025-02-23 0.001153 0.001474 0.001963 0.002862 0.004834 0.011119 0.218794
2025-03-02 0.001129 0.001449 0.001939 0.002850 0.004896 0.011785 0.797603
2025-03-09 0.001099 0.001413 0.001897 0.002802 0.004859 0.012019 24.192244
2025-03-16 0.001091 0.001411 0.001909 0.002860 0.005104 0.013748 NaN